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Cash In on the “War Against Sugar” With… a Chocolate Company

1 | By Michael A. Robinson

When it comes to sugar, I’ve been way ahead of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.

A few years back, after taking a close look in the mirror, I committed myself to eating better, exercising more… staying in shape.

fda-no-sugar-badAs part of that regime, I cut sugar out of my diet almost entirely, including my all-time favorite snack – dark chocolate.

But on May 20, the FDA caught up with me.

That’s the day the federal agency approved sweeping changes to food labeling. The FDA adjusted serving sizes to reflect how much people actually eat and started requiring food and drink companies to list added sugars.

As someone who hopes others can save their health before it’s too late, I applaud the FDA’s new standards.

And as a tech stock specialist, I see the FDA’s move as part of an “unstoppable trend” – and that makes the anti-sugar tide a moneymaking opportunity.

You can get in on this trend by buying and holding shares in a stable-but-growing food company. This stock may sound “boring” at first – but there’s at least three “rocket-booster” catalysts behind it that are going to drive the shares higher for years to come…

  • Its global brands build a nearly insurmountable moat around its core business.
  • It has a superb history of dividend growth.
  • And it’s targeting fresh new growth by using biotechnology to produce “medical foods” aimed at our increasingly low-sugar diets.

And get this – you probably think of it as a “chocolate milk company.”

Let’s take a look…

Sweet History

The FDA took this action in an effort to combat obesity, diabetes and heart disease – all ailments that have been linked to sugary foods and drinks.

Just last week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that 38% of U.S. adults and 17% of teenagers are obese.

So it might seem surprising that my investment recommendation here is a 150-year-old Swiss firm that got its start in condensed milk, milk-based baby food… and milk chocolate.

Nestlé SA (OTC ADR: NSRGY) has since used a powerful combo of internal growth and a long history of M&A to become the largest-by-revenue food company in the world. Its product lineup still includes condensed milk (Carnation) and baby food (Gerber’s) – and now also features coffee (Nescafé), cookies (Toll House), ice cream (Dreyer’s), candy (Kit Kat) and frozen pizza (DiGiorno).

chocolate-milk-nesquikThat said, when it comes to Nestlé, those of us who grew up mid-century still probably first think of Quik, the chocolate-flavored milk pitched by an excitable cartoon bunny.

Nestlé’s huge number of well-known brands -the ones I listed barely scratch the surface – means it is literally everywhere. I’m sure your cupboard and refrigerator contain at least some of its products.

Most of these businesses are secure, diversified and quite profitable around the world. And that means Nestlé has a very powerful moat – and little to worry about from competitors. Current investors can similarly rest easily.

Not Quite an Aristocrat

Because it froze dividends briefly back in the mid-1990s, technically, Nestlé is not found on lists of dividend aristocrats – stocks that have raised their dividends annually for 25 years or longer.

But it does have a long history of terrific dividend growth.

Besides that freeze, Nestlé has raised it every year since at least 1959. And it currently pays a dividend with a 3% yield – look for that to be hitched up each April and paid out each May.

And as I’ve been showing you over the past few weeks, dividend payers should be a part of your tech investing portfolio

With such a rich history and stable business, Nestlé likely could have mostly ignored the changing patterns in eating and food regulations and let others focus on health foods.

Instead, its scientists are now in the lab finding ways to revise its products’ ingredients while keeping their great flavors.

And it’s rolling out a completely new set of so-called “medical foods” that fit right into current food trends.

Healthy Moves

See, what I call the “New Nestlé” starts with a unit meant to propel new growth.

The market for “medical foods” – prescription-based powders and drinks to meet specific nutritional needs and treat disease – is already a $15 billion business. And it’s growing by double digits each year.

You can already see the impact that healthier food is having on consumer spending.

The amount spent on gluten-free foods alone has doubled in the past five years to $8 billion and should hit $12 billion by 2019. Foods based on plant proteins (such as soy and almond milk) will see demand spike from $10.6 billion in 2010 to $39.8 billion by 2019, according to data compiled by Nestlé.

And at Nestlé Health Science, a small army of researchers are diving right down to the molecular level to see how foods can help sick people become healthy again.

The timing is great. Over the past five years, our knowledge of the human genome and the role that genetics plays in disease has grown exponentially.

It’s no longer enough to reduce our carbohydrates, sugar or salt. We need to eat and drink foods that promote health and strengthen us against disease.

Nestlé is spending $500 million over five years to discover and develop healthful extracts found in foods like tomatoes, coffee and grapes. And it’s looking for ways to use those extracts to enhance the nutritional profile of many of its core foods.

For example, we know that yogurt has a range of healthy bacteria that can help with a whole set of digestive issues. Nestlé is now working with a set of small biotech firms that have deep expertise in areas like digestive bacteria and amino acids to develop foods that help build muscle mass, without the need for the kind of artificial powders used by many body builders.

Nestlé’s big push toward health-focused foods and drinks already includes…

  • Boost, which helps people that have lost their appetites consume enough high-quality protein and vitamins and minerals, including calcium and vitamin D.
  • Meritene, a line of shakes and soups that provide the fiber, protein, vitamins and minerals that make up a balanced diet for elderly people.
  • The Therapeutic Nutrition unit, which offers foods that target pediatric care, food allergies, swallowing disorders, cancer and obesity.

Special Situation Growth and Profits

This marriage of the firm’s high-profile brands with its moves into nutritional foods makes Nestlé a great “special situation” play.

And we get the upside that comes with geographic reach. For example, its Felix line of pet foods in 17 countries in 2010 but is now sold in 45 nations.

To be sure, sales growth of 3.9% in the first quarter of 2016 was the slowest rate since 2009. But the new focus on healthy products should add new sales at a much faster pace. (In other words, you’re getting in at an opportune time here.)

With the stock trading at $72.86, it has a $234.25 billion market cap. It has operating margins of 15% and – like I said before – pays a dividend with a 3% yield.

Add it all up and you can see this is a good time to move into this stock – and, with that growing dividend, hold it forever.

When it comes to my health, I may like beating the FDA.

But beating Wall Street – as we’re doing here – is even better.

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One Response to Cash In on the “War Against Sugar” With… a Chocolate Company

  1. Virgil Smith says:

    What about STEV as a substitute for sugar. I have done significant work on this compound and it appears that they may be on to something significant. The more we can reduce sugar the better for all of us. With the new restrictions on salt, I would that the food producers will up the sugar load as they did before when salt came under focus. Best Health to All. V

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