Proof It Doesn’t “Pay” to Listen to Just Anybody about Tech Stocks

9 | By Michael A. Robinson

Loose lips sink ships. Or at least they try to…

Take the case of 3D Systems Inc. (NYSE:DDD). Investors who bailed on the stock recently – and there were a lot of them – missed a great rally yesterday. That 8.5% gain on heavy volume put the stock among the top 20 gainers of its exchange.

It’d be easy to chalk that gain up to the market’s overall rally. No doubt, investors were thrilled to see evidence that Washington just may solve its budget impasse before we go over the “fiscal cliff.” But that’s not what’s really going on here…

As I see it, DDD’s rebound yesterday was sweet justice indeed.

Or perhaps even revenge.

See, the stock had recently come under huge selling pressure after the financial advisory website Seeking Alpha slammed the company last week. An article on Seeking Alpha questioned the firm’s huge recent sales growth, accusing management of “hiding something.”

I’ve analyzed publicly traded firms for more than 30 years and I can tell you – that is a very serious charge.

In response, yesterday, 3D Systems made the unusual move of holding a conference call to dispute Seeking Alpha‘s critique. Senior managers gave analysts an on-the-record look at the firm’s accounting practices. This call ranks as a key event in the recent history of 3D Systems’ stock, which is up more than 185% so far this year. (Like I keep saying, you really can make a lot of money in this field.)

That’s why I’m telling you, you have to be very careful who you listen to about tech stocks. So, let me take a moment to tell you what’s really going on with DDD.

Here are three reasons I think DDD has the potential to blow that 185% gain out of the water.

First, 3D printing truly is a breakthrough technology – one of those “radical changes” that can make people rich. Back on Oct. 5, I told you I believe this is “the 21st century equivalent of the laser printer and the dawn of desktop publishing in the 1980s that changed the entire print industry.”

3D printers are devices that can take a blueprint for pretty much anything and turn it into a real object in minutes. The “printer” has a nozzle that spits out special polymers. All you have to do is add a binding agent, and you can create everything from replica car parts to human jaws to a custom musical instrument.

Second, a wide range of companies throughout the U.S. are using printers from 3D Systems to make rapid and low-cost prototypes, as well as finished goods. We’re talking about such big names as Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (NYSE:SWK), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F) and Texas Instruments (NasdaqGS:TXN). Even a branch of the Pentagon relies on 3D Systems’ printers.

So, from a sheer technical standpoint, this company is a winner. And that brings me to my final point.

Third, a couple of years back, senior managers realized this area of high tech was about to go mainstream. They understood this is a part of a broad and huge global trend known as the “maker movement.” The term refers to people who like to use cutting-edge systems to make things themselves. It includes tech hobbyists who build their own computers or robots, musicians making their own recordings, and authors self-publishing their books and selling them on the Web.

3D Systems didn’t gloss over the profit potential of this do-it-yourself trend. And you shouldn’t, either.

Consider that Maker Faire New York 2012, a marquis DIY event held two months ago, drew more than 100,000 visitors. Many were there to learn more about 3D printing.

Now, you know why 3D Systems worked so hard to come out with a low-cost product tailored for the entry-level buyer. It’s called the Cube, and it retails for just $1,299, not counting supplies. The idea is to hook them early and build a customer base that lasts a lifetime.

I think this is great marketing that will really burnish the brand.

See, a lot of small companies can only afford the base model. But as their ideas convert to sales, they will no doubt trade up to better machines. And 3D Systems will be there with both professional and production models, not to mention 3D software or custom parts if they need it.

The hardcore investors among you will be wondering how 3D Systems compares to its chief competitor, Stratasys Inc. (NasdaqGS:SSYS). Stratasys is a savvy company, but it’s only going after higher-end buyers. They make bigger and more expensive machines that appeal to major corporate buyers.

From a technical standpoint, I suppose you could debate the merits of either company. But from the basis of stock gains, there really is no question who the winner is. DDD is up about 185% so far this year compared to a 119% gain for SSYS.

With so much going on in the world economy, I can’t predict that DDD’s rally will continue without setbacks. But it’s clearly a leader in the entire tech sector. And with such strong trends in its favor, 3D Systems faces a very bright future, indeed.

P.S. This morning you received an invitation to my 2013 Technology Summit, set for next week. I hope you’ll join me. We’ll be exploring the five advanced military technologies that will change the world next. This is just the kind of thing you folks are always asking for. You can still reserve your place. Just click here.

9 Responses to Proof It Doesn’t “Pay” to Listen to Just Anybody about Tech Stocks

  1. Stephen Mandell says:

    2013 Technology Summit – Click here goes to a dead link. Would love to know more about this meeting. Steve

  2. G.F. De Clerck says:

    I should like to assist at the meeting on 28th november, but, having 85 I need to sleep at our european time of 1.00 o’clock in the night.
    Is there a chance of listening in to a recording at a latter date???

    • vdowdle says:

      Editor’s Note: G.F., yes, we’ll record Michael’s Webinar and email a link to all Era subscribers the next day – Thursday, November 29. Keep an eye on your inbox.

  3. Mark Ament says:

    Bit ironic that the Radical Change technology based letter provides a dead link to its seminar don’t you think? Like Steve, I would love to know more about what you have planned.

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